GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

TSV Steinbach · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

TSV Steinbach 4-0 Eintracht Trier

Original prediction

TSV Steinbach

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2839.9%37.1%-2.8 pts
Draw3.5925.3%29.5%4.2 pts
Away2.6134.8%33.4%-1.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

TSV Steinbach

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

TSV Steinbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TSV SteinbachDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Eintracht TrierLWLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TSV SteinbachEintracht Trier
50.0Attack36.7
50.0Defence63.3
43.3Form53.3
50.8Power52.6
1.18xG1.03
View match centre →