GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/4/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

TSV Steinbach II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 43.7-point power-rating edge (21.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

72.5%

Model confidence

72.5%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TSV Steinbach IILLLWL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Vfb MarburgLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
TSV Steinbach IIVfb Marburg
38.9Attack50.0
0.0Defence66.7
16.7Form66.7
21.1Power64.8
1.05xG3.02
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