GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/27/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

TSV Steinbach II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Friedberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (21.1 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

76.0%

Model confidence

76.0%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TSV Steinbach IILDDDW

GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FriedbergWLDWW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TSV Steinbach IIFriedberg
38.9Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
16.7Form77.8
21.1Power72.8
1.08xG3.38
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