GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/8/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

TSV Steinbach II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fernwald are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (21.1 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

65.0%

Model confidence

65.0%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TSV Steinbach IILLLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FernwaldDWLLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TSV Steinbach IIFernwald
38.9Attack41.7
0.0Defence58.3
16.7Form41.7
21.1Power48.8
1.18xG2.69
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