GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/10/2024, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bayern Alzenau · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

TSV Steinbach II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Bayern Alzenau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bayern Alzenau hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (21.1 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Bayern Alzenau holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bayern Alzenau

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

61.8%

Bayern Alzenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TSV Steinbach IILLLDD

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bayern AlzenauLDWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TSV Steinbach IIBayern Alzenau
38.9Attack44.4
0.0Defence44.4
16.7Form22.2
21.1Power40.2
1.35xG2.71
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