TSV Hartbergvs
Wolfsberger AC
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TSV Hartberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TSV Hartberg 1-0 Wolfsberger AC
Original prediction
TSV Hartberg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 43.0% | 60.8% | 17.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.4% | 19.9% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 30.6% | 19.3% | -11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
TSV Hartberg
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
TSV Hartberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60