TSV Hartbergvs
Lask Linz
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 9/20/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lask Linz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TSV Hartberg 3-3 Lask Linz
Original prediction
Lask Linz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.04 | 10.4% | 15.8% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.32 | 17.6% | 20.3% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.30 | 72.0% | 63.9% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Lask Linz
Probability
63.9%
Model confidence
63.9%
Lask Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00