GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 7/29/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

TSV Hartberg · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

TSV Hartberg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Austria Lustenau are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Austria Lustenau hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.3% in the Bundesliga, while TSV Hartberg holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

TSV Hartberg

Probability

34.3%

Model confidence

34.3%

TSV Hartberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TSV HartbergWLLDD

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Austria LustenauWLWWL

GF 20 · GA 13 · avg 4.00/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
TSV HartbergAustria Lustenau
0.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence50.0
0.0Form16.7
21.5Power36.5
1.25xG1.20
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