GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

TSV 1860 Munich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

TSV 1860 München are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Holstein Kiel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the DFB Pokal, favouring TSV 1860 München with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

TSV 1860 Munich

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

13.5%

TSV 1860 Munich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TSV 1860 MunichDDLLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Holstein KielDLLWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TSV 1860 MunichHolstein Kiel
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24
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