TSV 1860 Münchenvs
Bayreuth
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TSV 1860 München · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TSV 1860 München 2-1 Bayreuth
Original prediction
TSV 1860 München
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.4% | 49.1% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.39 | 20.5% | 25.4% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 4.72 | 19.1% | 25.5% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
TSV 1860 München
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
TSV 1860 München has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80