Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
12%
MediumconfidenceTsirang are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Thimphu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 42.3 against 44.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring a draw with 12.3% confidence, a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.2%
Model confidence
12.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TsirangLLDLL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ThimphuWLLLW
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TsirangThimphu
48.5Attack33.3
39.4Defence47.2
33.3Form44.4
42.3Power44.0
1.73xG1.19