Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Tsirang are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Paro are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 4.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Paro hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 81.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Premier League, while Paro holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paro
Probability
82.6%
Model confidence
10.3%
Paro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 23 · GA 3 · avg 4.60/0.60