GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/26/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SC Freiburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

TSC Backa Topola are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SC Freiburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Freiburg hold a 43.0-point power-rating edge (17.4 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while SC Freiburg holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SC Freiburg

Probability

71.6%

Model confidence

71.6%

SC Freiburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TSC Backa TopolaDLDDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SC FreiburgWLLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TSC Backa TopolaSC Freiburg
33.3Attack70.0
0.0Defence53.3
5.6Form63.3
17.4Power60.4
1.05xG2.95
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