TSC Backa Topolavs
Metalac GM
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TSC Backa Topola · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TSC Backa Topola 5-1 Metalac GM
Original prediction
TSC Backa Topola
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.4% | 66.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.78 | 19.1% | 20.0% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 8.68 | 10.5% | 13.4% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
TSC Backa Topola
Probability
66.6%
Model confidence
66.6%
TSC Backa Topola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80