TSC Backa Topolavs
Loznica
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 9/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TSC Backa Topola · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: TSC Backa Topola 0-0 Loznica, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
TSC Backa Topola 4-0 Loznica
Original prediction
TSC Backa Topola
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.7% | 40.2% | -20.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.5% | 30.4% | 6.9 pts |
| Away | 5.74 | 15.8% | 29.4% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.5 pts
Projected Score
TSC Backa Topola 0–0 Loznica
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
TSC Backa Topola
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
TSC Backa Topola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60