TSC Backa Topolavs
Grafičar
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TSC Backa Topola · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TSC Backa Topola 4-1 Grafičar
Original prediction
TSC Backa Topola
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 69.9% | 50.3% | -19.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.72 | 19.1% | 26.4% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 8.18 | 11.0% | 23.3% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
TSC Backa Topola
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
TSC Backa Topola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60