GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 9/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

TSC Backa Topola · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

TSC Backa Topola 0-0 Dubočica

Original prediction

TSC Backa Topola

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.1479.7%47.4%-32.3 pts
Draw6.5913.8%25.2%11.4 pts
Away13.866.5%27.4%20.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-32.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–010%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

TSC Backa Topola

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

TSC Backa Topola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TSC Backa TopolaDWWDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DubočicaWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TSC Backa TopolaDubočica
100.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence83.3
100.0Form66.7
80.3Power71.2
1.25xG1.17
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