TS Galaxyvs
Kruger United
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/13/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TS Galaxy · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
TS Galaxy 0-1 Kruger United
Original prediction
TS Galaxy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.5% | 52.0% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 31.2% | 26.4% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 27.2% | 21.6% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
TS Galaxy
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
TS Galaxy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20