Trygg/Ladevs
Molde
COMPLETEDNorway · NM Cupen · 9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trygg/Lade 0-5 Molde
Original prediction
Molde
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 32.43 | 2.9% | 30.3% | 27.4 pts |
| Draw | 9.79 | 9.4% | 22.6% | 13.1 pts |
| Away | 1.05 | 87.7% | 47.2% | -40.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-40.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Trygg/LadeLLDDL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
MoldeWWWWL
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Trygg/LadeMolde
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.89xG1.61