Trygg/Ladevs
Junkeren
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 2 · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junkeren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trygg/Lade 1-2 Junkeren
Original prediction
Junkeren
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 35.2% | 25.4% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.4% | 20.1% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 41.4% | 54.5% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Junkeren
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Junkeren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40