Trygg/Ladevs
Hønefoss
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 2 · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hønefoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (10%), 1-5 (9%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trygg/Lade 2-3 Hønefoss
Original prediction
Hønefoss
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.95 | 18.3% | 8.8% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.67 | 19.4% | 11.0% | -8.4 pts |
| Away | 1.46 | 62.3% | 80.2% | 17.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–410%
- 2.1–59%
- 3.1–39%
Predicted outcome
Hønefoss
Probability
80.2%
Model confidence
80.2%
Hønefoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 19 · GA 8 · avg 3.80/1.60