2. Division - Group 22. Division - Group 2
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 12:12
Trygg/Lade

Trygg/Lade

Home
L
12
Full time
Eidsvold

Eidsvold

Away
W
Koteng Arena
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Eidsvold(34%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Trygg/Lade
39%
Draw
27%
Eidsvold
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Trygg/Lade
9
Eidsvold
100
Defence
Trygg/Lade
6
Eidsvold
27
Momentum
Trygg/Lade
0
Eidsvold
100
Danger (xG)
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Eidsvold
4.50
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.20 xG for Trygg/Lade and 2.57 xG for Eidsvold — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Trygg/Lade holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.77 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Trygg/Lade's Attack Score (9) vs Eidsvold's Defensive Stability (27) and Eidsvold's attack (100) vs Trygg/Lade's defence (6) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Trygg/Lade)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Eidsvold)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Trygg/Lade)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Eidsvold)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Trygg/LadeTrygg/Lade
L
EidsvoldEidsvold
W

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Trygg/Lade39%
Draw27%
Eidsvold34%

Trygg/Lade leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Eidsvold Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2

Trygg/Lade host Eidsvold in 2. Division - Group 2. Trygg/Lade have recorded LLLLLL in recent matches while Eidsvold arrive with a run of WWLLWW. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.57 expected goals for Eidsvold against 1.20 for Trygg/Lade — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔒 Defensive Stability Eidsvold have kept 2 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: 📈 Recent Form Eidsvold arrive in better recent form — 4 wins from 10 matches (WWLLWW) against Trygg/Lade's 0. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

Eidsvold are generating a dominant xG advantage — 2.57 projected against 1.20 for Trygg/Lade. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.37 is the clearest signal in the model that Eidsvold are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Eidsvold are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Trygg/Lade

Trygg/Lade

L
@ Levanger
16 May 2026
03
Eidsvold

Eidsvold

W
@ Ull/Kisa
15 May 2026
52

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Trygg/Lade vs Eidsvold?

GoalVio's model predicts Eidsvold to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Trygg/Lade vs Eidsvold?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Trygg/Lade vs Eidsvold?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Trygg/Lade vs Eidsvold?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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