Truro Cityvs
Walton & Hersham
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Truro City · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 3-0 (14%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Truro City 1-1 Walton & Hersham
Original prediction
Truro City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.7% | 58.5% | -15.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.55 | 16.4% | 22.5% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 9.15 | 9.9% | 18.9% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.3–014%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Truro City
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Truro City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00