GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Truro City · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Projected score: Truro City 2-0 Slough Town, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Truro City 3-1 Slough Town

Original prediction

Truro City

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2473.1%58.9%-14.2 pts
Draw5.6616.0%22.2%6.2 pts
Away8.3210.9%18.9%8.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-14.2 pts

Projected Score

Truro City 2–0 Slough Town

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Truro City

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Truro City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Truro CityWLWWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Slough TownLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Truro CitySlough Town
48.1Attack33.3
81.5Defence20.0
63.0Form13.3
64.9Power26.1
2.79xG0.47
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