Truro Cityvs
Salisbury
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Truro City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Truro City 0-1 Salisbury
Original prediction
Truro City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.2% | 40.1% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.6% | 29.3% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 21.2% | 30.7% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Truro City
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Truro City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00