Trujillanos FCvs
Rayo Zuliano
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trujillanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Trujillanos FC 2-4 Rayo Zuliano
Original prediction
Trujillanos FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.5% | 38.4% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.5% | 26.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.14 | 21.9% | 35.7% | 13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Trujillanos FC
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Trujillanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20