Trujillanos FCvs
Puerto Cabello
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Puerto Cabello · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Trujillanos FC 0-1 Puerto Cabello, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Trujillanos FC 0-1 Puerto Cabello
Original prediction
Puerto Cabello
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.68 | 19.5% | 16.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.3% | 24.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 54.2% | 58.5% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Trujillanos FC 0–1 Puerto Cabello
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Puerto Cabello
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Puerto Cabello has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00