GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Segunda División · 3/18/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Trujillanos FC are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Héroes de Falcón are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Héroes de Falcón hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 53.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Trujillanos FCDWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Héroes de FalcónDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Trujillanos FCHéroes de Falcón
28.9Attack49.0
71.1Defence62.5
44.4Form50.0
50.4Power53.9
0.69xG0.78
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