Trujillanos FCvs
Caracas FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caracas FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Trujillanos FC 0-1 Caracas FC, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Trujillanos FC 0-1 Caracas FC
Original prediction
Caracas FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.9% | 24.4% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.6% | 27.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.5% | 47.7% | 14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.2 pts
Projected Score
Trujillanos FC 0–1 Caracas FC
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Caracas FC
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Caracas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00