Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Troszyn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Wikielec are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Troszyn
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60