Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Troszyn are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Widzew II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Troszyn
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40