Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Troszyn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Weszlo are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Troszyn
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
9.5%
Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 2.67/1.00