Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Troszyn are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Wasilków are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 31.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Troszyn
Probability
84.3%
Model confidence
84.3%
Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80