GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Mediumconfidence

Troszyn are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Troszyn

Probability

64.3%

Model confidence

10.0%

Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TroszynLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzWWWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
TroszynWarta Sieradz
73.5Attack42.2
53.9Defence52.9
55.9Form43.1
59.5Power47.4
2.33xG1.04
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