GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/20/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Troszyn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Troszyn

Probability

62.3%

Model confidence

62.3%

Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TroszynLWLDL

GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Warta SieradzWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TroszynWarta Sieradz
73.5Attack42.2
53.9Defence52.9
55.9Form43.1
59.5Power47.4
2.34xG1.04
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