Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Troszyn are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Łomża are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Troszyn
Probability
67.9%
Model confidence
67.9%
Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80