Troszynvs
ŁKS Łódź II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Troszyn 1-1 ŁKS Łódź II
Original prediction
Troszyn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.2% | 45.6% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.2% | 25.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.5% | 29.0% | -9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Troszyn
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20