GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/31/2025, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Troszyn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Troszyn

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

64.8%

Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TroszynWLWLD

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IIWLLDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TroszynJagiellonia II
73.5Attack48.0
53.9Defence46.1
55.9Form44.1
59.5Power46.8
2.68xG1.19
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