GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/18/2025, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Troszyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Troszyn are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Broń Radom are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Troszyn hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Troszyn holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Troszyn

Probability

59.5%

Model confidence

59.5%

Troszyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TroszynWLDDL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Broń RadomDWLWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TroszynBroń Radom
73.5Attack38.2
53.9Defence57.8
55.9Form47.1
59.5Power49.1
2.08xG0.95
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