GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/28/2024, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Trostianets are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vorskla Poltava II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.1% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

66.1%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrostianetsWLDDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Vorskla Poltava IILLLLL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TrostianetsVorskla Poltava II
33.3Attack27.8
83.3Defence37.0
50.0Form24.1
56.2Power32.6
2.03xG0.65
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