Trostianetsvs
UCSA
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 10/21/2023, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Trostianets are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while UCSA are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.6% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
64.6%
Model confidence
64.6%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60