GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/3/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Trostianets are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rukh Vynnyky II are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrostianetsDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rukh Vynnyky IIDWWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
TrostianetsRukh Vynnyky II
33.3Attack40.0
83.3Defence54.7
50.0Form44.0
56.2Power46.8
1.40xG0.98
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