GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 3/28/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Trostianets are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Penuel are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrostianetsDDLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PenuelDLDLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TrostianetsPenuel
33.3Attack44.4
83.3Defence55.6
50.0Form44.4
56.2Power51.1
1.47xG1.19
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