GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/12/2024, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Trostianets are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nyva Vinnytsya are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrostianetsLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Nyva VinnytsyaDDLWD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TrostianetsNyva Vinnytsya
33.3Attack55.6
83.3Defence44.4
50.0Form44.4
56.2Power51.1
1.58xG1.27
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