GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 11/6/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Trostianets are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Metalist 1925 II Kharkiv are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 36.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrostianetsWWWLD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Metalist 1925 II KharkivLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TrostianetsMetalist 1925 II Kharkiv
33.3Attack42.6
83.3Defence27.8
50.0Form33.3
56.2Power36.9
2.29xG1.01
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