GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/27/2024, 9:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Trostianets are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrostianetsDLDLD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Lokomotiv KyivWWDDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TrostianetsLokomotiv Kyiv
33.3Attack44.9
83.3Defence44.9
50.0Form38.5
56.2Power43.7
1.72xG1.08
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