GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/23/2023, 9:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Trostianets are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Karpaty II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrostianetsDWLWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Karpaty IIWWWLL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TrostianetsKarpaty II
33.3Attack46.7
83.3Defence48.0
50.0Form48.0
56.2Power48.6
1.59xG1.15
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