Trostianetsvs
Chernihiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 4/26/2025, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chernihiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Trostianets are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chernihiv are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Druha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chernihiv
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40