GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/21/2024, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Trostianets are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chayka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrostianetsDDLWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ChaykaWLLDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TrostianetsChayka
33.3Attack60.3
83.3Defence76.9
50.0Form65.4
56.2Power66.8
0.80xG1.56
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