GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 5/11/2024, 9:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Trostianets are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chayka are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrostianetsLDDLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
ChaykaDWWDD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TrostianetsChayka
33.3Attack60.3
83.3Defence76.9
50.0Form65.4
56.2Power66.8
0.80xG1.56
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